Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.055992 0.060649 0.065354 0.070457 0.075829 0.081308 0.087311
2025-04-20 0.048128 0.054909 0.061997 0.069932 0.078541 0.087571 0.097735
2025-04-27 0.042721 0.051054 0.060029 0.070352 0.081837 0.094164 0.108336
2025-05-04 0.039001 0.048585 0.059182 0.071660 0.085840 0.101352 0.119496
2025-05-11 0.036504 0.047191 0.059285 0.073816 0.090631 0.109316 0.131486
2025-05-18 0.031796 0.042829 0.055636 0.071360 0.089905 0.110853 0.136072
2025-05-25 0.028815 0.040275 0.053883 0.070908 0.091319 0.114695 0.143180
2025-06-01 0.026235 0.038008 0.052293 0.070487 0.092629 0.118313 0.149955
2025-06-08 0.025179 0.037560 0.052848 0.072597 0.096920 0.125409 0.160806
2025-06-15 0.023889 0.036706 0.052814 0.073914 0.100203 0.131291 0.170230
2025-06-22 0.022505 0.035627 0.052411 0.074701 0.102789 0.136309 0.178623
2025-06-29 0.020883 0.034121 0.051366 0.074597 0.104209 0.139878 0.185257
2025-07-06 0.020050 0.033681 0.051725 0.076331 0.108005 0.146457 0.195697
2025-07-13 0.018346 0.031917 0.050246 0.075619 0.108672 0.149179 0.201459
2025-07-20 0.017173 0.030838 0.049625 0.075982 0.110676 0.153542 0.209238
2025-07-27 0.016434 0.030342 0.049763 0.077321 0.113918 0.159448 0.218939
2025-08-03 0.016053 0.030352 0.050585 0.079572 0.118352 0.166873 0.230567
2025-08-10 0.014166 0.027945 0.047903 0.076975 0.116365 0.166133 0.231979
2025-08-17 0.013072 0.026697 0.046807 0.076494 0.117121 0.168842 0.237692
2025-08-24 0.012071 0.025530 0.045773 0.076047 0.117883 0.171534 0.243371
2025-08-31 0.011866 0.025655 0.046637 0.078270 0.122242 0.178886 0.254997
2025-09-07 0.011453 0.025402 0.046919 0.079656 0.125472 0.184787 0.264807
2025-09-14 0.010923 0.024917 0.046823 0.080484 0.127935 0.189696 0.273368